Wednesday, April 24, 2013

2013 NFL Mock Draft


 Less than 24 hours away and I have finally completed my mock draft. I’ve tinkering with this for about a week now, and the Jet’s acquisition of the 13th overall pick threw a bit of a kink in the situation, but here it is. Enjoy!

Andy Reid has the first overall pick and he only drafts
players who weigh more than him in the first round.
That only leaves a few players on his draft board.
1. Kansas City: OT Luke Joeckel Texas A&M
There is a good chance Eric Fisher goes here, but I am siding with the more ready to start prospect, especially since the Chiefs are likely to trade their current left tackle, Branden Albert. Andy Reid pretty much never takes anything besides offensive and defensive lineman in the first round, so that basically makes this pick a competition between Joeckel, Fisher, and Sharrif Floyd.

2. Jacksonville: DT Sharrif Floyd Florida
There is a lot of speculation that this pick will either be used on Geno Smith or Dion Jordan. I will rule out Smith right away simply because I do not think that they are ready to give up on Blaine Gabbert, although they really should. Jordan is an extremely talented player, but I have a hard time figuring out how he would fit in a 4-3 defense. I think he will end up being mostly looked at as a 3-4 outside linebacker. Floyd on the other hand is one of the most dominant interior lineman we have seen in the last few years. The Jags lost Terrance Knighton to the Broncos, who has been a solid starter for the last four seasons, so DT is a clear need for this team.

3. Oakland: CB Dee Milliner Alabama
Did the Raiders sign both Tracy Porter and Mike Jenkins in free agency? Yes. Does that really solve their issues in their defensive backfield? No. Porter and Jenkins are both marginal starters at best. The Raiders will have to line up against Peyton Manning twice a year with his new trio of dangerous receivers. This might be a bit of a reach for Milliner, but the guy has size, speed, and incredible college productivity while playing for Alabama, which is basically a NFL minor league team. With every team in the league looking for a guy like this, I really don’t believe that he is too much of a reach here, although the Raiders will push hard to get out of this pick.

4. Philadelphia: OT Eric Fisher Central Michigan
The Eagles’ offensive line was atrocious last season. They need upgrades at almost every position. With Chip Kelly’s high octane offensive coming to town, he needs offensive lineman in great physically shape. Fisher is the most athletic offensive lineman in this draft so this is all around a perfect fit. Look for teams to try to trade up with the Raiders to grab Fisher before the Eagles get him.

5. Detriot: DE Ezekiel Ansah BYU
If this is how the draft falls, the Lions will look to get out of this pick. They are praying that either Milliner or Fisher fall to them, both of whom would fill huge needs for them. If they get stuck with this pick, I see them taking the most intriguing edge rusher in this draft. Ansah has very little football experience, but his potential is off the charts. In a draft with so few clear all stars, Ansah will fly up the draft boards. 

Monday, April 22, 2013

Darrelle Revis: A Buc Killer

The Bucs have landed another playmaker in the back end of
their defense, but is Darrelle Revis worth his new contract?

The Bucs may have managed to give up less than the Jets wanted to acquire Revis, but it is his new hefty contract that could cause a lot of headaches in years to come. People will say that this is a great contract for the Bucs, but I think otherwise. Paying $16 million dollars a year for a corner back is ludicrous. Even if Revis is back to 100%, this is too much money for any defensive player. The NFL is a league in which you need a quarterback to win, and since winning quarterbacks cost around $17-20 million to retain, that does not leave much money for the other 52 players on the roster.

I strongly believe that Revis is the most dominant defensive player in the league, but with the majority of teams running some form of the spread offense, shutting down one offensive player does not have the effect that it used to. Teams will still be able to throw away from Revis, like they did for years playing against a once dominant Nnamdi Asomugha in Oakland.

Technically, there is no guaranteed money in Revis’ new contract, but since the Bucs gave up two high picks for him, there is almost no situation in which he is not on the team for the next two seasons, even if he is plagued by injuries and/or inconsistency. In that case, there is almost an assumed guaranteed $32 million. After those first two years, the Bucs will then still be paying a 30 year old player $16 million a season if they want him to stay on the team.